Middle East tourism to grow 40% by 2030 as global travel enters new phase

The Middle East is set to record one of the strongest tourism growth rates globally, with inbound travel projected to rise by around 40% by 2030 compared to 2019 levels, according to new data from Tourism Economics presented at ITB Asia 2025. While Asia-Pacific (APAC) is leading the global tourism recovery, the report shows that the Middle East will outpace most other regions after 2027, reflecting its growing role as a global travel hub. Strong air connectivity, large-scale tourism investments, and new visitor infrastructure in destinations such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar are driving sustained momentum. Tourism Economics projects that global inbound volumes will surpass 2019 levels by 2026, with APAC’s share of global visits climbing to 49% by 2030. As outbound travel from China fully recovers by 2027 and India’s outbound market expands even faster, the Middle East is expected to capture a rising share of long-haul arrivals, particularly from Asia.  Despite global economic uncertainty, the region’s tourism resilience and diversification efforts are expected to underpin long-term growth. The study concludes that by 2030, the Middle East will solidify its position as a critical connector between Asia and Europe — and a key driver of global tourism expansion.